Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.201863 1.472233 1.822288 2.324119 3.053391 4.126358 5.941359
2025-04-27 0.877223 1.182653 1.643770 2.449178 3.979643 7.250337 17.228813
2025-05-04 0.693851 0.988157 1.475255 2.444016 4.694182 11.450664 56.684255
2025-05-11 0.570700 0.841132 1.315999 2.348295 5.138197 16.515988 272.679458
2025-05-18 0.502661 0.764632 1.251006 2.405649 6.080214 28.440086 NaN
2025-05-25 0.457811 0.716768 1.223161 2.533494 7.502764 60.239080 NaN
2025-06-01 0.413114 0.659661 1.159529 2.536425 8.534798 124.630450 NaN
2025-06-08 0.370498 0.599083 1.073453 2.435455 8.980898 235.801414 NaN
2025-06-15 0.348302 0.574279 1.060734 2.554582 11.074466 1827.301456 NaN
2025-06-22 0.323812 0.541088 1.020868 2.567047 12.645349 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.298914 0.503777 0.963639 2.493587 13.446891 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.278641 0.473648 0.918692 2.448521 14.570990 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.271059 0.469748 0.940646 2.688647 20.714807 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.260160 0.457371 0.938245 2.833829 27.582140 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.245728 0.435506 0.905804 2.825970 32.044457 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.229822 0.408766 0.855400 2.707887 33.030293 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.220534 0.396052 0.842774 2.778413 42.212957 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.214047 0.389012 0.845298 2.936267 61.804809 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.204667 0.374310 0.822483 2.939894 75.925132 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.193502 0.354499 0.781345 2.815138 77.262684 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.188573 0.349007 0.783459 2.962380 123.192484 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.181564 0.337918 0.766295 2.977826 163.824887 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.173300 0.323181 0.735550 2.886905 177.642465 NaN NaN